Centro de Documentação da PJ
Analítico de Periódico

CD 294
HUNT, Priscillia, e outro
An introduction to Monte Carlo simualtions in criminal psychology [Recurso eletrónico] : applications in evaluating biased estimators for recidivism / Priscillia Hunt, Jeremy N.V. Miles
Journal of Criminal Psychology, Vol. 5, nº 2 (2015), p. 149-156
Ficheiro de 197 KB em formato PDF.


PSICOLOGIA, CRIMINOLOGIA, REINCIDÊNCIA, METODOLOGIAS

Studies in criminal psychology are inevitably undertaken in a context of uncertainty. One class of methods addressing such uncertainties in Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. The porpose of this paper is to provide an introduction to MC simulation for representing uncertainty and focusses on likely uses in studies of criminology and psychology. In addition to discribing the method and providing a step-by-step guide to implementing a MC simulation, this paper provides examples using the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Survey data. Results show MC simulation can be a useful technique to test biased estimators and to evaluate the effect of bias on power for statistical tests.