Centro de Documentação da PJ
Analítico de Periódico
38831
Rediscovering foundations : the probabilistic model of Windt and Kodicek (1904) for fingerprint rarity / Gabriel Ângelo da Silva Gomes, Raul Yukihiro Matsushita
Journal of Forensic Identification, Vol. 75, nº 3 (July-September 2025), p. 250-258
CD 357.
DACTILOSCOPIA, CIÊNCIA FORENSE
Estimating fingerprint rarity using probabilistic models has been crucial in advancing forensic sciences, beginning with Sir Francis Galton's pioneering work in 1892. Among the historical contributions, the 1904 probabilistic model proposed by Windt and Kodicek has yet to be recognized. This study revisits their calculation that two identical tenprints would require 4,660,337 centuries to appear, critically analyzing their assumptions and methodology. By situating this model chronologically alongside those of Galton, Henry, and Balthazard, we highlight its foundational significance and influence on Locard's tripartite rule. Our findings suggest that while the calculations by Windt and Kodicek appear to be conservative, they remain a vital reference in understanding early approaches to fingerprint rarity estimation. This historical reassessment not only corrects misconceptions in the attribution of their work but also underscores their contribution to the evolution of forensic identification science.
